14 2 2 Rank in State, Class, District |
1201 -95 Strength Momentum |
1088 58.3(13) SOS, RPI(RPI Rank) |
":" = Games won or lost as expected, "+" = Games won against stronger team, "-" = Games lost against weaker team) |
Date | Opponent1 | RGWF4 | Opp Strength | Result | Expectation2 | Playing Strength | P(Win)3 | Send |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
08/25/15 | at Belen | 0.000 | 593 | W 10- 2 | Expected (+2) | 1317 | 98% | |
08/27/15 | at St. Pius ? | 0.000 | 1071 | L 2- 3 | Worse (-2) | 1095 | 69% | |
09/03/15 | at Los Lunas ?? | 0.001 | 931 | L 3- 4 | Worse (-3) | 1025 | 85% | |
09/04/15 | Moriarty | 0.001 | 981 | W 4- 0 | Expected (+2) | 1282 | 84% | |
09/08/15 | at Cibola | 0.003 | 1232 | W 2- 1 | Better (+2) | 1276 | 40% | |
09/11/15 | Bloomfield | 0.002 | 729 | W 10- 3 | Expected (+2) | 1312 | 97% | |
09/15/15 | at Bosque | 0.009 | 1309 | L 0- 4 | Expected (-3) | 1063 | 29% | |
09/17/15 | Albuquerque | 0.016 | 1422 | L 1- 2 | Expected (+1) | 1252 | 19% | |
09/22/15 | Rehoboth Christian ! | 0.015 | 1003 | W 6- 0 | Expected (+4) | 1396 | 82% | |
09/25/15 | Artesia | 0.005 | 779 | W 10- 0 | Expected (+6) | 1500 | 95% | |
09/26/15 | Hobbs | 0.060 | 1286 | L 2- 3 | Expected (0) | 1183 | 38% | |
09/29/15 | at Sandia | 0.091 | 1278 | T 1- 1 | Better (+1) | 1249 | 33% | |
10/02/15 | at Clovis | 0.092 | 1189 | L 1- 5 | Expected (-4) | 1003 | 48% | |
10/03/15 | at Lovington !! | 0.108 | 1057 | W 7- 4 | Expected (+2) | 1289 | 71% | |
10/07/15 | Hope Christian | 0.184 | 1088 | W 4- 1 | Expected (+2) | 1285 | 72% | |
10/13/15 | Bosque | 0.226 | 1309 | L 1- 5 | Expected (-3) | 1044 | 34% | |
10/15/15 | at Rehoboth Christian | 0.203 | 1003 | W 5- 0 | Expected (+3) | 1364 | 78% | |
10/20/15 | at Hope Christian | 0.599 | 1088 | T 1- 1 | Worse (-1) | 1154 | 66% | |
10/22/15 | Santa Fe Prep | 0.661 | 1111 | W 2- 1 | Expected (0) | 1196 | 69% | |
10/23/15 | at Bloomfield | 0.520 | 729 | W 5- 2 | Expected (-1) | 1125 | 96% | |
11/05/15 | * Hope Christian | 0.857 | 1088 | W 3- 1 | Expected (+1) | 1254 | 69% | |
11/06/15 | * Bosque | 0.988 | 1309 | L 0- 1 | Expected (0) | 1215 | 31% |
Notes: 1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Sandia Prep actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted 2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin 3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference 4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage |
The median opponent strength is 1088, while
Sandia Prep's "weighted playing strength" is 1201
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.65 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/17/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 11/07/15)
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